Thursday, May 28, 2015

More welfare to create more jobs?

Muriel Newman has critiqued the budget, in particular the measures to reduce child poverty by increasing core benefits to parents:

There are risks, as in general, the more generous benefits become relative to wages the harder it is to move people off welfare. But the government knows that. They also know the extra benefit money will not only help families in need, but it will provide a stimulus for small businesses in their communities, leading to new employment opportunities.
The writer and I agree on many things but this isn't a view I would advance. Taken to its natural extension benefits should continue to rise to keep creating jobs!  Economics In One Lesson, The Broken Window (Henry Hazlitt) explains how, in the matter of superficially creating employment,  the unseen party is overlooked. The baker's window is broken, the glazier profits. He has extra employment. But the baker had intended buying a new suit from the tailor. Now he cannot and the tailor's employment decreases. There is no "new" employment. 

Here, the business owner coughing up the tax for benefits is unseen. He's prevented from creating "new employment opportunities" so the business in a heavily benefit-dependent community can. It's the redistribution of jobs by compulsion.

If the goal was for small business owners to create more jobs the correct approach would be to simultaneously cut their tax and cut benefits. But that's not the goal. The goal is to keep voters satisfied enough to vote National back in.



Or perhaps  the government has bought into the Michael Cullen approach. They believe they can do a little of what they know is theoretically unsound. Cullen knew the evidence about raising the minimum wage was incontrovertible but insisted it could be done in small steps without creating unemployment.


Is  there an equivalent rule in economics to healthy living - everything in moderation?

Then again, NZ is way beyond a healthy serving of welfare already. My gut tells me more is not the answer.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Cullen knew the evidence about raising the minimum wage was incontrovertible but insisted it could be done in small steps without creating unemployment.

It's not "incontrovertible" - very little ever is. If you believe a lack of capital density is a major impediment to NZ's productivity then raising the minimum wage should encourage increasing capital investment in business (and less in labour) and increasing education.

Then again, NZ is way beyond a healthy serving of welfare already. My gut tells me more is not the answer.

In that NZ's taxes and benefits --- not to mention overall state involvement in the economy and limitations on persona freedoms --- are higher than many Easter European countries then sure NZ's welfare is "unhealthy".

If you prefer being able to criticise the government over being able to drink and smoke and drive drunk, and if you prefer the lumpenproletariat staying at home rather than doing make-work jobs, then I guess you'd prefer NZ today. If you'd rather being able to drink and smoke when and where you liked, and where bludgers who didn't work didn't eat, you might prefer East Germany or Poland in the early 60s rather than NZ today.