Monday, September 01, 2008

Hamilton Polling

Electorate polls often provide an indication of what is happening at a national level. The Waikato Times has polled both Hamilton electorates and the results are here.

In the West the polling is reflecting the very close result of 2005 when the Labour candidate won by a mere 800 votes, but with a swing to National. But there is a large chunk of undecided. Almost one quarter in fact (which is close to what I am finding in Hutt South.)



But in the East the incumbent National MP, David Bennet, is looking at a landslide with his majority well up on 2005 when he received 50 percent of the electorate vote. The National Party vote is also substantial at 49 per cent compared to Labour's 25 per cent.



So these local polls are telling us the same as the national polls. There is going to be a change of government and National may be able to govern alone.

This is interesting but unsurprising;

The economy is more important to men as a deciding issue (10 per cent) than women (five per cent).

Health and education are more important to women (six per cent and seven per cent respectively) than men (two per cent and three per cent).


Health and education standards are a facet of the economy. The economy comes first. How does one get that through to people??

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Health and education standards are a facet of the economy. The economy comes first. How does one get that through to people??

but to Labour-voting bludgers, they are not "facets of the economy". The are provided by Jesus, by the Queen, by Helen, by the State.

The only way you will ever convince people of this is to make the necessary changes first, and then they will see the consequences.

Rather than a "Labour Lite" plan for a 9 or 12 year government, a three year plan, like ACT offers, that will solve all these problems in the first year, and then fix the electoral system so that they can never be changed back - is really the only solution to this problem.

As it is --- all the good work of the 1980s and more has already been squandered by Labour in their first term --- now we're even worse off than we were when Rob was thrown out and the necessary remedies must be more urgent, and far more substantial